Battery costs are desirable to fall more cheap in the future!

ଲେଖକ: ଆଇଫ୍ଲୋପାୱାର - Pembekal Stesen Janakuasa Mudah Alih

New energy vehicles have reached 2 million in my country, which can be expected that new energy vehicles mainly based on pure electric vehicles will fully replace fuel vehicles in the future. However, let the new energy car age come, the price is a threshold. The reporter noticed that the current battery accounted for about 40%, and is one of the original electric vehicles.

When is the price of the new energy car to fall, even if the fuel truck is cheap? In this regard, there is a wide range of consensus on the industry: the fastest to 2020, the cost of pure electric vehicles will drop nearly 40%, which is five years later. The price is expected to be lower than the fuel car. Under various subsidies, my country's new energy car ownership has exceeded 2 million vehicles.

However, new energy vehicles including pure electric vehicles currently sell expensive, if there is no country and local subsidies, it may be labeled. Moreover, the subsidy policy of new energy vehicles will be gradually tightened, and the reporter noted that the new energy subsidies in the new energy subsidies that were implemented on June 12 this year were less than 50%, less than 300 kilometers. 150 kilometers of battery life will no longer enjoy subsidies.

And after 2020, the subsidy policy will be completely canceled. In this trend, many consumers issued questions: Today, a new energy vehicle, more than 400 kilometers, the price of the subsidy is equivalent to the official command price of about 60%. There is no subsidy in the future, even if the car purchase price is reduced, the price of the consumer is at least 30%, is it worth choosing? Cui Dongshu, secretary-general of the National Trade Federation, said that cancel subsidies are trend, only policies tightened, The real strength of the car enterprises can be embodied.

Therefore, even if the subsidy is thoroughly canceled, there is no need to worry. As the car enterprise will move most of the energy to the new energy vehicle category, the advancement of technology and large-scale mass production will eventually pull low energy vehicles such as pure electric vehicles. Sell.

The reporter noticed that the positive effect brought by the new government implementation is very significant. The electric models in the market have been eliminated in the market, although most independent brand new energy vehicles on the market still have some problems in the quality of the workmanship, the quality of the body, but the improvement is improved. , The improvement of quality, these are visible progress.

Survey: Why is the pure electric car so expensive? Why is the mainstream pure electric car in the new energy market? Is it so expensive? Taking a self-owned brand electric car as an example, its lowest official price of its fuel version is only about 70,000 yuan. However, the minimum official price of electric version is 210,000 yuan, after deducting the national and local subsidies, the price of its market terminal is also around 130,000 yuan. The reporter noted that the difference between the same model electric version and the fuel version is 50,000 yuan to 80,000 yuan, and it is necessary to in the power system.

The core of the pure electric car is battery, motor, electric control. Luo Chengcai, deputy head of Beiqi New Energy Project, said that electric car costs are affected by power distribution. It is reported that the current power lithium-ion battery's battery 1kWh cost is about 1500 yuan, the current pure electric car battery capacity of the market is mostly between 40 and 60 degrees, and only the battery cost is 60,000 to 90,000 yuan.

In addition, the cost of pure electric vehicle has huge research and development costs in addition to processing costs. Since the current sales is not high, the development cost of each volume-producing electric vehicle sharing is very high. When electric vehicle sales increase, battery costs have fallen, so can the electric car can reduce the price of the vehicle? The answer is affirmative.

How difficult is to reduce battery costs? The reporter noted that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology proposed in the "Mid-China Development Plan" of the Automobile Industry. " / Watt. "The" 2018 my country Automotive Industry Development Report "is more optimistic, and the cost of power lithium-ion battery is expected to reach 1 yuan / WH at the end of 2018, and by 2025, the battery cost is 0.

55 yuan / WH. This is almost two-thirds compared to the current battery cost. Industry experts believe that this data means that after stripping subsidies, electric cars can compete with traditional fuel vehicles after three or five.

The reporter reviews the Data of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology noted that with technology progress and battery processing, my country's driving lithium-ion battery costs fell by 79%. Deputy Professor, School of Mechanical and Vehicle College, Beijing University of Technology, Sun Liqing, an electric vehicle professional committee of my country Electrical Technology Society, believes that five-year subsequent flight miles at electric vehicles in 600 ~ 800km, battery cost will account for 20% to 30% of the whole vehicle, plus scale The cost of research and development is lowered, so the purchase price of electric vehicles is cheaper than fuel cars. Prediction: How much can the cost of electric vehicles in the future? In the next five years, pure electric vehicles are sold lower than fuel vehicles, not the heavens.

Sun Liqing and other experts believe that the new energy vehicle-based new energy vehicle-based new energy vehicle-based new energy vehicles in the future will experience two costs: in 2018 ~ 2019, because of competition, overproduction, life is subsidized after A-class car subsidies for 300km The price will might take to 10,000 yuan and below; the second phase is 2020 to 2021, the new energy car subsidy exits, and the new energy vehicle forms a scale effect, and the endless mileage is subsidized after 300km A-class bike subsidies. The price will be possible to detect about 80,000 yuan. The National Automobile Flow Association experts said that according to its own development drivers and policy orientations, 2025, electric vehicle costs will be flat to the cost of fuel vehicles, and even sell the price will not be higher than the fuel truck.

The battery expert in Ningde Times believes that the battery technology is in the current period of key technology, and it is expected to develop a non-aging battery of 800 to 1,000 kilometers in 2020. At that time, pure electric vehicles are expected to be fully popular. However, some experts have cautious ideas, think that at least 2025, some electric cars will be cheap cheaper than the same level of fuel cars.